Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. File Upload. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. 450 episodes. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. 01:00 PM. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. Today those numbers have flipped. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. This is the first episode. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. 01:06 PM. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. Edit your transcribed text. No place like 'Nam. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. . Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. All. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. This is the second episode. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price robert kraft granddaughter. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. r/fivethirtyeight. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. police- settlements. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. Local news is disappearing across the country. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. It's easy. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. The data behind that evolution is striking. The crew asks whether comparisons to former President Donald Trump's own classified document scandal are apt. Transcripts by Erin Wade. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. Saturday, February 25, 2023. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. Happy holidays! The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. Sept. 25, 2014. negro-leagues-player- ratings. Feb. 25, 2021. info. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". They also review the mostly finalized congressional maps for the cycle and discuss new polling on American polarization. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp This is the final episode. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more.

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